Technological Changes
-
Long-term changes
- Global networks linking
billions of embedded devices:Computers around us, computers inside us
- Universal access
- Precise locational data:
command and control for all transportation, all shipments, all
pipelines
- Permanent, perfect memory:
transparency, accountability, decryption and analysis
- Permanent memory: new
cultural preservation and change
- Extended idea of city, of
company, of government: beyond geographic boundaries:
A global diaspora for our children: extending community, creating
universal links
- Cities extend beyond human
memory: cultural memory, family memory, neighborhood memory
- All objects enter the
conversation: objects come alive
- Connectivity
changes
technology
- Network Speed: sustained
or burst
Supercomputing 2004 World Record: 101.13 Gigabits sustained--over 4 000
kilometers, for 20 minutes--
30 November 2004
- Network speed and
latency:
250 millisecond delay inhibits emotional connection between humans:
500 - 1000 kilometers
- Identity
- RFID
object tagging
- DNA
unique identity
- Function
to location mapping
- Location
- Move
from 3D to 4D
- Anonymity
- Permanent,
persistant, perfect storage changes our ideas of center,
distribution, and memory:
- (Tivo
= Set-top box) Nation: "You changed my life": NAB Futures Summit,
2003
- Honeycomb:
clustered petabyte storage: SunLabs
- Latency
- Fool the distant
teleconferencer
- Metaphors
of interfaces, layers, objects
- Content innovations:
Everyone is a television station, a Pixar
Everyone is a musician-if you hum, you can create ringtones
Everyone can show what they see
Anyone can remix, re-edit, re-synchronize the work of others:
sing with Sinatra or Presley or Piaf
Millions can create together: symphony of cell phones, dance of
remotely sensed devices
Technological innovation does
not mean technological adoption.
_______
The Next Five Years:
- Open Source
- New forms of content
- New ways to find content
- Cheap 50 megapixel cameras,
cheap 50 megabit wireless two-way liquid crystal screens
- Rising level of
abstraction: innovation above the IP layer
- Self-configuring systems
- Self-configuring hardware
- Ubiquitous wireless access
- Storage costs dropping 60%
a year
- Encryption-enabled
application and rights management
- Multi-threaded support:
multi-core CPU Chip multi-threading (CMT)
- Asynchronous clocks
- New optical interconnect
- Identity systems:
biometric, DNA chip
- Pin-point cooling
Three-dimensional printers
