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A combination of a
dramatic fall in the birth rate and increasing mortality meant that since
the mid-1980s, Russia’s population has shown declining growth rates, which
became negative in 1992 (2). In 1992, the death rate in the Russian
Federation was greater than the birth rate for the first time, and has been
so ever since. Until recently, deaths exceeded births by roughly 60% per
year (2). Indications are that these trends have been accelerating,
producing even larger population drops: in the first six months of 2000
deaths exceeded births by 84%, and in the corresponding period of 2001 the
excess was 75% (14). The natural population loss rose from 200 000 in
1992 to 800 000–900 000 per year in recent years (2). In the first
half of 2001 a natural decrease (i.e. not including migration) of 484 900
was reported and in the first half of 2000 the decrease was 522 700 (14).
However these figures must be treated with some caution as it is believed
that there was substantial under-registration in the 2002 Russian census.
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